A few semesters into my teaching career as a psychology professor, I uncovered a cheating ring. I determined who the ringleader was and called him to my office. He admitted that he had illicitly ...

We all make judgments of probability and depend on them for our decision-making. However, it is not always obvious which judgments to trust, especially since a range of studies suggest that these ...

This post is part 2 of a series. In a previous post, I partially outlined calibrationism, the view that judgments of probability are trustworthy only if they are produced by ways of thinking that are ...