Despite labor weakness, the broader economy shows resilience. The Fed's revised forecast of 2.3% growth for 2026 suggests ...

UCLA Anderson Forecast predicted in March that, if enacted, the Trump administration’s economic policies will lead to recession. Clement Bohr, the economist who authored the recession watch report, ...

Imagine you are sailing a ship through dense fog, looking out for land. Your lookout spots species of birds typically found offshore. It now seems likely that you are approaching land, but it is ...

There has been considerable debate recently about whether the U.S. economy could be entering a period of stagflation and whether a recession is looming. Those who believe the economy is at risk of a ...

Major brokerages have gone back on their U.S. recession forecasts after a 90-day tariff pause between U.S. and China. The revised predictions come after both countries agreed to reduce tariffs: the ...

Goldman Sachs economists lowered their recession forecast for the U.S. to 35%, from 45% previously, following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China on Monday, which lifted hopes of ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

Strategist Ed Yardeni, one of the biggest bulls on Wall Street, is coming off the sidelines after the U.S. and China reached a temporary trade truce over the weekend and sparked a major market rally.

JPMorgan Chase‘s chief global strategist suggests that the US economy, while likely to dodge a recession, should brace for slower growth. Despite these challenges, Kelly remains optimistic about the ...

University of Hawaii economists expect the state economy to begin gradually contracting later this year due to federal policy impacts hurting tourism, employment and personal income. The University of ...

A recession has been in the forecast for much of 2023. Yet an economic downturn — formally defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP growth — has yet to happen. "A recession is obviously ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...