Treasury, yields and Inflation
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Investors keep seeking the perceived safety of U.S. government debt, lowering Treasury yields for the second consecutive session, as Trump pondered military action in Iran and stocks sold off.
Treasury yields were retreating Tuesday morning, after a fresh reading from the consumer-price index showed that core inflation was softer in December than Wall Street expected. The 10-year Treasury yield was down about 2 basis points at around 4.
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A host of other issues are driving yields higher as well; if inflation was really 'over', borrowing costs would be much lower, one investor says Treasury yields are rising alongside their counterparts in Japan and Germany despite expectations that the ...
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is coming to the end of his term, and his replacement could also affect future mortgage rates. Trump has been critical of Powell for not reducing interest rates more aggressively, and while the chair is supposed to work independently, pressure from the president could have an effect.
Weekly Treasury Simulation, January 9, 2026: 50,000 No-Arbitrage Heath-Jarrow-Morton Yield Scenarios
Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers from maturity mismatch—read now.
Markets have been predicting another rate cut for weeks, but bond yields have been rising. The 10-year Treasury yield has steadily risen in recent weeks, and ticked up to 4.2% on Wednesday. Bond markets are telegraphing concerns about more inflation in the ...
The Fed is a separate agency from the U.S. Treasury, but both are responsible for keeping the economy stable. Here's the difference between the two bodies.