Markets are doubting U.S. growth and equity strength. Yet economic conditions don’t signal a downturn. Resilient earnings keep us overweight U.S. stocks. Global stocks trimmed their losses last week.

The left side represents the theoretical framework; the top middle contains a labeled box with a circumscribed circle displaying the call and put option prices (c, p), as well as the delta and vega ...

The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck David Spiegelhalter Pelican (2024) As I sat down to read David Spiegelhalter’s The Art of Uncertainty, much of the world’s ...

"I have to think that part of the flattening of the rate curve is from uncertainty and recession risk," Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said Tuesday during a moderated discussion. Policy uncertainty ...