Iran's strike on Israel by April 30, 2026, is fully priced at 100% YES, indicating complete trader consensus on the ...

Iran's envoy claims US and Israeli strikes were unsuccessful, asserting national unity. Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by June 30 ...

US-Israeli strikes damaged 20 Iranian aircraft while airport infrastructure remains intact. Israel military action against ...

US seizes an Iranian cargo ship, leading to accusations of piracy. Traffic normalization in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30 ...

Asset managers hold over 1.5 million Bitcoin amid US-Iran tensions. Bitcoin priced between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15 at ...

Polymarket in talks to raise $400M, seeking a $15B valuation amid rapid growth and increased user engagement in prediction ...

Israel's Windward and Vantor enhance maritime monitoring in the Strait of Hormuz. Odds for 80 ships transiting by April 30 ...

Protests erupt in Lima as López Aliaga alleges vote fraud, causing his odds of winning the 2026 election to drop to 9.5% YES.

Iranian arms broker arrested in LA dims hopes for sanctions relief. Iran to surrender uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026 at ...

Oil prices fell on hopes for US-Iran de-escalation, pushing the Polymarket contract for WTI Crude hitting $160 in April down ...

Gunvor warns of turbulent oil prices due to the Iran conflict and the closed Strait of Hormuz. WTI Crude Oil hitting $160 by ...

Japan households expect inflation to rise sharply, complicating BOJ rate cut plans; rate cut after April 2026 at 0.1% YES.