In terms of class probability, entrepreneurs and consumers have to decide which characteristics of a particular event are unique (and not relevant to the probability estimate) and which elements are ...

The FDA has opened the door to the use of Bayesian statistical methods in clinical trials. The worry: Introducing ...

George Pólya’s random walk theorem absolved him of being a lurker and revealed how the laws of chance interact with physical ...

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...

How do you create an accurate ranking system when the best players usually don't win? This is the conundrum of elite chess.

Few scientific ideas have leapt from philosophy seminars to dinner-table debates as quickly as the claim that our universe ...

For years, evolutionary psychologists and biologists have investigated the idea that the shape of a man’s face can predict ...

If the FDA follows through with the proposed guidelines, and they are not fatally twisted by pressure from the medical ...

Physicists have derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, revealing how beliefs and probabilities update in the quantum realm with potential applications in computing and beyond. Credit: Shutterstock ...

Should defendants be convicted based on merely statistical evidence? To what extent are individuals responsible for group harms? Can voting in a non-swing state be justified? Are cosmological theories ...