After attracting $3.7 billion in new capital and minting young billionaires at Polymarket and Kalshi, prediction market startups are all the rage, especially for recent college graduates.

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A little more than a year ago, on a trip to Nairobi, Kenya, some colleagues and I met a 12-year-old Masai boy named Richard Turere, who told us a fascinating story. His family raises livestock on the ...

Measuring trust isn’t enough. Furthering knowledge about the institutions and norms of science is the best way to build credibility.