Iran accused the US of attacking its commercial ship, raising tensions. Gulf state military action against Iran by April 30 ...

Iran strengthens ties with China and Russia amid US tensions. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 1.4% YES.

Iran says it won’t engage in new talks with the US, pushing the ceasefire end by April 21 market to 22% YES, up from 6% ...

Iran is considering a ban on Israeli-linked ships in the Strait of Hormuz. Fewer than 10 ships transiting the strait between ...

US Marines seized an Iranian cargo vessel in the Arabian Sea. Gulf state military action against Iran by April 30, 2026 at ...

BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF gained $906 million in inflows last week. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April now at 36.5% YES.

Iran's ambassador warns US and Israel attacks were unsuccessful, making ceasefire talks unlikely. Ceasefire by April 30 at 34 ...

Rumen Radev's coalition won the Bulgarian election with 37-45% of the vote. Radev as next Prime Minister at 96.6% YES.

Pakistan is pushing for US-Iran talks before the April ceasefire deadline. Odds of no meeting by June 30 at 3.7% YES.

Over $400 million has been liquidated from the crypto market amid geopolitical tensions. Bitcoin below $60K by April 17 at ...

Iran has not committed to attending the next round of US-led talks in Pakistan, following a US naval blockade and the seizure ...

KelpDAO's bridge hack drained $292M, marking the largest DeFi exploit of 2026; Ethereum's price dip to $2,300 is now at 100% ...