Prediction markets are taking bets this Valentine's Day that celebrity relationships can thrive — or break apart.

Bayes' theorem is a statistical formula used to calculate conditional probability. Learn how it works, how to calculate it ...

How do you create an accurate ranking system when the best players usually don't win? This is the conundrum of elite chess.

Few scientific ideas have leapt from philosophy seminars to dinner-table debates as quickly as the claim that our universe ...

For years, evolutionary psychologists and biologists have investigated the idea that the shape of a man’s face can predict ...

The post How To Speed Up the Search for Cures Through a Change in Probability Theory appeared first on Reason.com.

Physicists have derived a quantum version of Bayes’ rule, revealing how beliefs and probabilities update in the quantum realm with potential applications in computing and beyond. Credit: Shutterstock ...

Should defendants be convicted based on merely statistical evidence? To what extent are individuals responsible for group harms? Can voting in a non-swing state be justified? Are cosmological theories ...

ABSTRACT: Binary outcomes are frequently encountered in a variety of fields and contexts and the Bayesian approach is widely used to analyze this type of data. Under this framework, a beta prior ...