Crude oil prices surged 8% due to the Strait of Hormuz crisis, with the likelihood of hitting $90 by June at 15% YES.

The US oil rig count has been stagnant or slightly declining since 2023, despite high oil prices. Smaller oil and gas ...

Iran’s Foreign Ministry said there is no plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The market on Trump announcing the US blockade ...

Aave's exploit caused a $7B drop in total value locked and a 15% decline in AAVE. Bitcoin dip to $60K in April at 3.1% YES.

Israel warned Lebanese civilians against returning home due to Hezbollah ceasefire violations. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% ...

Iran declared nuclear reserves off the table for negotiation, pushing the odds for no US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 ...

Iran calls ship attack aggression amid rising tensions. No US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 1.5% YES.

Iran rules out transferring enriched uranium, making a deal unlikely. U.S. obtaining uranium by May 31 at 0% YES.

Bitcoin trades at $75K, up 24% from its low, but selling pressure raises concerns; Bitcoin dipping to $60K in April at 99.9% ...

Iran’s Foreign Ministry is reviewing a US plan conveyed during the Pakistani Army Chief’s visit, and the market for no ...

Iran restricts traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, causing traders to lower expectations. Blockade lift by May 31 at 78% YES.

Iran pulls out of Islamabad peace talks, making ceasefire extension uncertain. Ceasefire by April 21, 2026 at 17.5% YES.