The US has blocked Iraq’s dollar shipments from Federal Reserve accounts to pressure Iran-backed militias. The US-Iran ...

IRGC gunboat attacks a container ship off Oman amid ceasefire extension. Ceasefire by April 30 drops to 14.5% YES.

Russia's State Duma passed a crypto regulation bill. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April 2026 is now at 66% YES.

US ceasefire extension as a diplomatic chance, but market odds for a ceasefire by April 30 are at just 14.5% YES.

Iran's UN ambassador says negotiations depend on lifting the US naval blockade. Ceasefire by April 30 drops to 15.5% YES.

Iran's UN ambassador says talks are possible if the US lifts the blockade, but ceasefire by April 30 is at 15% YES.

President Trump has publicly urged Fed nominee Kevin Warsh to cut interest rates immediately. The likelihood of a 25 basis ...

Iran has rejected a ceasefire extension, with the US identifying Mojtaba Khamenei as the primary obstacle. The odds of a ...

Iran's Revolutionary Guards express concerns over a "silent battlefield," leading to a ceasefire by April 30 now at 15% YES.

BlackRock purchased $900 million in Bitcoin through its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF, and the Polymarket contract for ...

Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely, but market odds for ending military operations by April 30 dropped to 15% YES ...

Iran's military warns it is ready to strike amid falling ceasefire odds. Ceasefire by April 30 now at 14.5% YES.