IRGC gunboat attacks a container ship off Oman amid ceasefire extension. Ceasefire by April 30 drops to 14.5% YES.

Russia's State Duma passed a crypto regulation bill. Bitcoin reaching $80,000 in April 2026 is now at 66% YES.

US ceasefire extension as a diplomatic chance, but market odds for a ceasefire by April 30 are at just 14.5% YES.

BlackRock purchased $900 million in Bitcoin through its iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF, and the Polymarket contract for ...

Iran has rejected a ceasefire extension, with the US identifying Mojtaba Khamenei as the primary obstacle. The odds of a ...

Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely, but market odds for ending military operations by April 30 dropped to 15% YES ...

President Trump has publicly urged Fed nominee Kevin Warsh to cut interest rates immediately. The likelihood of a 25 basis ...

Iran's UN ambassador says negotiations depend on lifting the US naval blockade. Ceasefire by April 30 drops to 15.5% YES.

Iran's UN ambassador says talks are possible if the US lifts the blockade, but ceasefire by April 30 is at 15% YES.

Iran's Revolutionary Guards express concerns over a "silent battlefield," leading to a ceasefire by April 30 now at 15% YES.

TRON founder's lawsuit targets World Liberty over $107M frozen tokens, challenging decentralization claims in a pro-Trump ...

Bitcoin spot ETF inflows hit $11.8M amid geopolitical stabilization. Bitcoin reaching $80K in April 2026 at 60.5% YES.